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Are there any infectious disease experts who can give a clear overview of our risk for global pandemics in the near future? (slrpnk.net)

submitted 2 weeks ago by meyotch@slrpnk.net to c/asklemmy@lemmy.ml

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Given the engineered collapse of USAID and the NIH in the USA, as well as their turning away from WHO support, what are the most likely future scenarios? Can the other developed nations mount a credible pandemic response without the resources of the USA?

I am especially interested in global perspectives because pathogens don’t need passports. How might this impact the global order?

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[–] jet@hackertalks.com 6 points 2 weeks ago (2 children)

I can't speak for the political aspects.

CSIS has a interesting talk on the politics of global health https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AnErbYQ55kY

However, the global metabolic crisis is a huge risk factor for pandemics. People with compromised immune systems are far more likely to be affected by or disabled by global pandemics. In the USA something like 8% of adults have ideal metabolic health, that means 92% have a compromised immune system

[–] meyotch@slrpnk.net 3 points 2 weeks ago (1 children)

So the field is ripe for harvest then. :(

I’m trying to prepare myself for things to get really bad really quickly. Pandemics are the Achilles heel of complex global societies that forget the great secret: we are all made of meat.

[–] jet@hackertalks.com 2 points 2 weeks ago

The best thing you can do is ensure you, and the people you care about, have excellent metabolic health! Make sure y'all are insulin sensitive.

[–] Krik@lemmy.dbzer0.com 3 points 2 weeks ago (1 children)

In the USA something like 8% of adults have ideal metabolic health, that means 92% have a compromised immune system

Do you have a (written) source for that? I want to see how they came up with the numbers. Should be interesting.

[–] jet@hackertalks.com 3 points 2 weeks ago (1 children)

Prevalence of Optimal Metabolic Health in American Adults: National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey 2009–2016

Metabolically healthy Americans.... at 12%

My data shows 88% metabolically unhealthy as of 2016, so I'm guessing it hasn't improved since then. But the exact numbers are not so important, the trend and prevalence

The more recent paper on this has it at 8% but I don't have that link handy.

[–] Krik@lemmy.dbzer0.com 3 points 2 weeks ago (1 children)

Thank you very much!

That was quick!

[–] jet@hackertalks.com 3 points 1 week ago

Here is the new data until 2018. We are down to 6.8% healthy, 93.2% compromised.

https://hackertalks.com/post/7340607