this post was submitted on 13 Mar 2025
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How are you all hedging against the Trump downturn? (programming.dev)
submitted 6 days ago* (last edited 6 days ago) by artificialfish@programming.dev to c/stocks@lemmy.world
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I put a stop loss of $265 on VTI for 25% of my portfolio. Then I hope to reinvest it in PHYS (gold) and VDC (consumer staples with some dividends).

I have a stop loss on the rest of my portfolio on its cost basis (about a 21% drop). If that happens I’d probably wait for the low via 50 day EMA crossing then buy QQQ or something high gain.

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[–] artificialfish@programming.dev 1 points 6 days ago* (last edited 6 days ago)

I mean you’ve certainly thought it through. It’s just that international bonds and stocks can not be expected to perform well under a US downturn, because the US basically props up the entire world economy, being the home of most international companies and the world reserve currency and the most in debt country on earth. When the US crashes, usually the rest of the world crashes even harder. Idk bonds don’t interest me at all nor do foreign stocks. 20 years is a long time to wait and I see no reason in the future to believe that bonds will go up, every reason to see them collapse further: regime change, debt default, etc. In this case zooming out is an example of historicist bias. The future is not like the past.

Where did you get a 4% money market? But again, inflation has been over 4% during Covid and ~3% since. Under Trump it could get worse if the USA falls out of world reserve currency status.