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Long Resting
(sh.itjust.works)
Baldur’s Gate 3 is a story-rich, party-based RPG set in the universe of Dungeons & Dragons, where your choices shape a tale of fellowship and betrayal, survival and sacrifice, and the lure of absolute power. (Website)
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Companions say they are exhausted when you're out of short rests and they're damaged, low on spells, encumbered, or (this one I'm less sure of) debuffed with certain debuffs.
Any one of the above + lack of short rests available will prompt the line, from what I've found
I don't think that is accurate, as my companions OFTEN say they are "just so tired" when I still have BOTH short rests available... I swear sometimes they say it when everyone is full health, plenty of spells and barely have started the day. I also don't remember them basically ever saying it during act 1 and most of act 2, but that was around the time Patch 1 came out... I'm wondering if they added triggers for those lines to subtly convince people to spend more time in camp to progress some of the story - something to combat the fact that a lot of people seem to be missing lots of story by resting infrequently.