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He needs to be finding those "rational republicans" and trying to find a handful to vote for a D...
But he won't, because he's a moderate trained by Peolisi. So before he even thinks of negotiating he already has to give up everything Dems want
This will end with Dems voting for a Republican speaker.
Give the current state of the Republican electorate, it would be political suicide if any of them voted for a Democrat for Speaker. They may as well announce they are leaving the party at the same time.
OTOH, A handful of Democrats steering the post to a much more moderate Republican Speaker won't see nearly the same amount of blowback from their electorate, and it may even help them get reelected, since Democrats value a functioning government.
You act like there's no House seats that will likely swap to D in the next election...
There's enough Rs that are going to lose their seat regardless and them voting for a D speaker is the only thing that will keep them in office.
Don't appeal to their good nature (they don't have that) appeal to their personal greed and how much they crave power.
They can be the "Manchins" of the House.
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I think there are three key things you are missing here.
First, the Motion to Vacate is just a rule, and those rules can be changed my a majority of the House - conveniently the same threshold that is needed to elect a Speaker. It is quite possible that a bipartisan coalition to elect a Speaker would also negotiate a change to the rules for the Motion, similar to what Pelosi did when she was Speaker, and wanted to make sure her thim majority could be effective.
Second, I am assuming that any hypothetical support of a moderate Republican by Democrats would not be in conflict with Democratic leadership or a challenge to their authority. On the contrary, it would be done with their blessing, extracting concessions from the new Speaker that the Democratic Leadership would find acceptable. And there are ways to hold that Speaker accountable that stop short of firing him.
Third, I am assuming that any coalition support would be done in favor of a Speaker who is actually interested in governing, and not in burning the place down. So all they really need to fundamentally agree on is to not hold the government hostage every other vote. All the other stuff is noise compared to that. Once the "burn it all down" Caucus is relegated to the minority side in the House, there is much less damage they can do. (Compare this to the Senate, where one "Coach" can dictate the entire playbook.)
It all depends on how willing the rest of the Republican Caucus is to force out the Freedom Caucus nutters. I don't believe a majority of their caucus is aligned with them, because if they were, they would have never moved the Debt Ceiling or CR votes forward. Both votes were overwhelmingly bipartisan, with a majority of Republicans specifically voting against burning it all down in both votes.
Can you name a moderate republican in the house?
Someone without a history of bigotry, anti climate, or covid conspiracies? Someone that never supported Trump, or Russias invasion of Ukraine?
He needs to find a moderate R in an area that leans D and throw the entire Dem party behind them. Then with only a few R votes, they become a defensible SoH because the R crackpots won’t have the votes to axe them.