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I wholly agree with you. And I say this next part as an ally living in Louisiana:
I don't see the courts being able to stop this from happening. Inevitably, it will get challenged and end up at the Supreme Court, which will rule 6-3 "states rights".
Conservative justices have shown time and again that unless the constitution literally says the words "shall not infringe upon trans care for minors" they will not interpret it as such.
The only thing stopping this law in the last few years was a veto from the democratic governor, and now that that has flipped republican, the only thing that will stop it is enough people turning out to vote in 2027.
I'm not so sure SCOTUS would rule that way. Even Gorsuch ruled in favor of lgbtq rights because it is such obvious discrimination: https://www.npr.org/2020/06/15/863498848/supreme-court-delivers-major-victory-to-lgbtq-employees#:~:text=Gorsuch%20couched%20his%20opinion%20in,or%20transgender%20without%20discriminating%20...
I hope you're right. I think the involvement of minors might change that though
Very big difference between social discrimination and medical treatment