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Fuck Cars
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I think it's fair to say that horse's have a wider range of personalities or temperaments than motorbikes do. A bike won't throw you off if you're doing everything properly. A horse on the other hand can just not be arsed carrying you anymore or get spooked by something passing by.
All that said I don't think it would be easy to build a credible frame of comparison between the the two forms of transport. I wouldn't be surprised if either could be 'proven' to be more dangerous given the amount of thin air that the frame of reference would be resting on.
You are not accounting for all the assholes around you in the traffic. All it takes is either some light road rage or just glancing away from the road for a few seconds, and then you go flying.