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I feel like the tense of the rest of the sentence determines which day you're referring to when you use "this."
"I went to the movies this Saturday." Would be the Saturday that just happened
Vs
"I'm going to the movies this Saturday" would be this coming Saturday
You could of course further disambiguate it by using "this past Saturday" and "this coming Saturday" if you really wanted to, but I think in most contexts the rest of the sentence does it well enough.
Oh yes, I guess I should add more words to the examples
"this" feels more appropriate
"next" feels more appropriate
Even with the "coming" to clarify, it feels more natural to associate "this" with items that are in this week (Sunday to Saturday) and "next" with items that start on the following week's Sunday
I guess part of the disagreement here is about what a week is. Sunday to Saturday vs Monday to Sunday
Yep that makes sense :)
In this context, a week is 7 days starting with the day you're on. So if its a Wednesday, this week starts on that day and goes through Tuesday. On Thursday, this week becomes Thursday through Wednesday. Any day in "this week" would be "this $day". After the last day of "this week", we start next week and the days in that week are "next Saturday" for example.