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this post was submitted on 13 Jul 2024
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So just curious I'm seeing people say this will increase trumps chances of winning how is that exaclty?
Matyrdom is real real strong. Just ask the Germans and Austrians and former Yugoslavians.
what exactly is that? I looked it up but don't really understand how it could affect anything
Remember that a large portion of Trumps supporters are hardcore fundamentalist Christians, they already believe that Trump is fulfilling prophesy as "God's chosen leader."
This plays to their worldview perfectly.
People don't vote for Trump because they like his policies. They vote for him because he symbolises something to them, whatever that may be.
An attempt on his life just magnifies the power of that symbol.
Perhaps another way to say the same thing... clueless idiots who can't decide who to vote for, are much more likely to vote for the guy that got shot while fighting for their rights, than they are to vote for the old senile guy.
Are you joking?
Aside from the sympathy this will generate, he managed to put his fist in the air, yell "fight!", and generally look as badass as he could for the cameras.
If an attempted coup didn’t change people’s minds I don’t think this will.
I don't understand. What are you saying? If an attempted coup didn't make Trump more popular, why would an assassination attempt make Trump more popular? Is that your argument?
I’m saying voters are locked in. He barely lost support when he tried to overthrow the government so he’s barely going to get support when someone tries to assassinate him.
There are lots of reasons why this is a boon for trump but here’s one:
Failed assassination attempts make your political opponents impotent.
From this point forward in the campaign Biden has to hold trumps assassins accountable and use state resources to condemn the actions taken against trump. Effectively your opponent has to support you otherwise they look like they are consenting to the assassination attempt.
What can the Biden campaign really say to counter this narrative? ‘Hey you probably shouldn’t have invited violence because you’ll reap what you sow’ - that’s terrible strategy.
Instead they have to condemn all political violence, ensure trumps safety and effectively congratulate him for surviving.
Bad days for Biden’s campaign. No worthy challenger to Biden will take the mantle now.
He can play up the victim sympathy points and demonize the left for being violent criminals. Even if it's confirmed the shooter is a Republican (currently reported but not confirmed)
Look at bolsonaro in Brazil. Dude got stabbed n it rallied his base n he won