this post was submitted on 27 Apr 2025
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From what I'm reading, the troubles should start to pick up now; harbors being quieter, truckers not having work, ... Are any shortages noticeable yet?

ETA:

Source: https://paulkrugman.substack.com/p/trump-is-a-virus

Businesses have been filling their inventories. That's ending now. Economic pain in terms of job losses should accelerate now. It will still take up to a few weeks before inventories run empty, and the full impact hits consumers. Even a full reversal of Trumpism couldn't prevent knock-on effects that last into next year.

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[–] ComfyMuffin@lemmy.world 5 points 4 hours ago

Curling up into the fetal position and crying in between protests.

[–] Randomgal@lemmy.ca -2 points 1 hour ago (1 children)

Are they gonna blow up some vessels? What doe she negative number mean? XD

[–] General_Effort@lemmy.world 1 points 1 hour ago

The negative number means that far fewer ships are arriving in LA than at the same time last year.

[–] IAmJacksRage@lemm.ee 6 points 5 hours ago (2 children)

OP’s data shows the U.S. is stocking up tremendously in April, and then maintaining year-on-year patterns after that with a slight downturn that doesn’t even compensate for April’s glut.

I haven’t seen this data before but it shows the opposite of the shortage I was expecting.

[–] General_Effort@lemmy.world 2 points 4 hours ago (1 children)

You seem to be misreading that.

[–] IAmJacksRage@lemm.ee 2 points 3 hours ago (1 children)

Please correct me, then. The surprising moment came when I noticed the vertical axis is for year-on-year change and not raw tonnage.

[–] General_Effort@lemmy.world 1 points 2 hours ago (1 children)

Yes. It goes from much higher than last year to much lower.

[–] IAmJacksRage@lemm.ee 0 points 2 hours ago (2 children)

My read was that it was much higher to prepare inventory for the tariff shock

[–] HiddenLychee@lemmy.world 1 points 35 seconds ago

I think the issue is you're waiting for the negatives to be equal to the surplus of one month, when the trend (from three points of data so do with that what you will) is negative. So, ostensibly, after enough months of negatives, there will be much, much more negative than positives.

[–] General_Effort@lemmy.world 1 points 1 hour ago

Yes, and then, or rather now, incoming shipping collapses.

[–] BenjiRenji@feddit.org 2 points 5 hours ago

May still be a few weeks more before it's critical then.

[–] barneypiccolo@lemm.ee 16 points 7 hours ago (1 children)

Cargo container bookings are down 60%. 60%! Thats an incredible drop, and it really hasn't even started yet.

I'm ready for a "Hot Tariff Summer."

I've been on a no-purchase kick for a while now, even before HitlerPig was elected. We have become such a culture of consumerism that it had started to disgust me. I've embraced the "re-use, repair, re-sell, recycle" philosophy. If i need something, i try to buy it used.

I'm a guitarist, so I buy used guitars when i get a good deal, clean them up, fix them, and re-sell them at a small profit. It puts a beautiful instrument back into service, allows a poor or new musician an opportunity to have an inexpensive but quality instrument, and its music makes the world a slightly more beautiful place.

I even went on a much-needed diet (down 80 pounds so far, and still going), and decreasing my consumption, and spending less money with evil corporations, is a primary motivation.

So let the shelves be empty of cheap Chinese-made consumer goods, i don't need them, despite how much advertising and marketing tells me i do.

The silver lining is that if tariffs become a longterm thing, people will be forced to come around to my way of thinking, and when the tariffs finally end, corporations may be surprised to find that nobody needs their shiny crap any more.

[–] partial_accumen@lemmy.world 1 points 2 hours ago (1 children)

clean them up, fix them,

As someone else that does "clean up" and "fix them" for other non-instrument items, are you concerned about your supply/cost of replacement parts and supplies? Most of mine come from China.

[–] barneypiccolo@lemm.ee 2 points 2 hours ago* (last edited 2 hours ago) (1 children)

Somewhat, mostly strings. Most of the rest is just adjustments, using tools I already have. I still have a fair stock of strings, but I was thinking of buying a bunch more to hold me over for a while.

Cleaning is also a big part, but that's easy.

I suppose if it gets bad, and I need to buy tuners and bridges, etc., I can buy a few junk guitars, and cannibalize them for parts.

[–] partial_accumen@lemmy.world 1 points 1 hour ago

I can buy a few junk guitars, and cannibalize them for parts.

This is a future I see on my side too. The price will likely go up for our services to support this for a supply of parts though. If we get to that point, you won't be the only one buying up junk guitars as others will be buying them for the same reason. So the price of junk guitars is going to go up too.

[–] Mediocre_Bard@lemmy.world 53 points 18 hours ago (1 children)

Most aren't even aware that this is coming.

[–] Etterra@discuss.online 15 points 17 hours ago (2 children)

I can't wait to watch all the Trump-suckers loose their shit when they find out it's Trump's fault. If they can actually comprehend it as true, that is.

[–] MoonRaven@feddit.nl 16 points 9 hours ago (2 children)

They'll just say it's Biden's fault...

[–] BitsAndBites@lemmy.world 2 points 7 hours ago

That is also my knee-jerk reaction, but with Tariffs it's a pretty direct correlation to Trump now. Hopefully this will be what finally breaks him?

[–] barneypiccolo@lemm.ee 1 points 7 hours ago (1 children)

They'll say it, but they won't truly believe it. They'll know the truth, or at least those that still possess some human awareness. There will always be those that are irredeemable, you can't worry about them, they're just lost.

Casual Qur'anic comment, lol. 😅

[–] turtlesareneat@discuss.online 18 points 17 hours ago

narrator: they did not

[–] Artyom@lemm.ee 19 points 17 hours ago (3 children)

I'm far less worried about the imminent supply shock to the economy and far more worried about the long term damage to things like the FDA. We've decided we're going to try to go from ~10% vegetarian to closer to 80% or 100% because I simply don't trust that thing like meat and milk can stay safe to consume. I do have a solid amount of food in my house, and if shelves start emptying I think I'll be okay for a bit, but that'll pass. I can't really leave this country, so I need to be planning for longer term problems too.

[–] GoodLuckToFriends@lemmy.today 8 points 8 hours ago (1 children)

I have this fear that we won't even be able to trust fruits and vegetables. The most common food contaminations in the news always seem to be unwashed lettuce and such, which makes sense because of fertilizers.

[–] duckworthy36@lemm.ee 1 points 5 hours ago

I’ve been preparing for some kind of problem with produce for a few years, I just had a gut feeling so I built a vegetable garden 3 years ago. Also have been planting fruit trees everywhere.

[–] barneypiccolo@lemm.ee 1 points 7 hours ago

Ive been stockpiling canned proteins like tuna, chicken, clams, oysters, etc. even Spam. They may not be trustworthy in the future, but they are right now, so stack them up.

I can make a cheap but killer soup with a can of chicken, some ramen, and herbs, and i can even grow the herbs myself.

While the nation was functioning, meat and dairy would have been regulated by the USDA, not the FDA.

[–] twice_hatch@midwest.social 7 points 16 hours ago

I'm soupmaxxing

[–] peteyestee@feddit.org 12 points 21 hours ago (2 children)

I haven't actually been living for the past 30 years.

[–] tigeruppercut@lemmy.zip 9 points 16 hours ago

Hotblack Desiato, is that you?

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[–] SulaymanF@lemmy.world 8 points 20 hours ago

People don’t really know what to do, except save money, cut back on disposable spending, and watch carefully. Maybe buy some big things early like a laptop or EV now rather than wait for the shock. The big problems are a few weeks to months away.

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