I am well aware that deflation is bad for an economy, can lead to massive issues. But can we have a little bit too after the last few years. Just a 10% or so and then rise by 2% again.
10% deflation would lead to job losses. Companies make less money and start firing people quickly. This causes more deflation since everyone is scared of losing their jobs.
10% inflation is a big pain in the ass. 10% deflation is a potential layoff.
Companies make less money and are less inclined to hire as they know they can hire someone else soon for less.
Yes, increased unemployment when we are one of our lowest unemployment rates in a long time - low unemployment also drives inflation.
I see it like the housing market - only way for the next generation to have a chance is for everyone else to lose on their investments or ownerships. Falling house prices will also cause mortgagee sales but it still needs to happen.
Those two things aren't comparable.
The way to drop House prices is to increase supply by destroying housing and replacing them with something higher density and by reducing demand due to foreign ownership.
Just look at Japan. No housing crisis? Why?
Increase supply or reduce demand.
Falling house prices would mean its no longer a profitable investment - in the short term Q supplied would greatly increase as stock comes from investor market to consumers. Long term it may create issues where houses aren't built because investors don't want them, but at the same time more families would build for themselves.
I think what we want is for wages to pop so that we gain back our buying power.
Cost of living to come down - same sentiment
Deflation is much harder to fight than inflation. I think Japan struggled with it for a decade or more.
China's economy is no longer weak, it is collapsing and crumbling and the government is always fudging the economic data. The country's property market has already generally cut prices by more than 60% and in the next 4 months, the property market will face more than 90% price cuts, that will be very scary, let's wait and see.
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