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this post was submitted on 13 Sep 2024
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The problem with peace platforms is that they're very hard to change. AMLO ran on a 'hugs, not bullets' platform towards dealing with the cartels - but the cartels aren't misbehaving kids or disgruntled impoverished folk. The cartels, at this point, are rational, self-sustaining actors - which means no amount of hugs will induce them to 'kill themselves' by dismantling the fundamental roots of their operations.
At the same time, such a peace platform means that any escalation will be called out as hypocrisy and blamed for any rise in cartel activity.
It's a trap of AMLO's own making, but it's hard not to feel for him. Between the realities of the situation on the ground and electoral politics, he's not exactly overflowing with options. One hopes Sheinbaum will feel more freedom to act when she steps into the presidency.