this post was submitted on 08 May 2025
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I'd be extremely skeptical of people saying they wouldn't leave.
You think 100% of Albertans and Saskatchewanians want to split from Canada?
Some people are of the thought of "do it now and get it over with so we can see it fail and move on".
Nenshi (head of the Alberta NDP) has literally said he wants the vote to happen today so that we can get this out of the way, stop playing political games once the vote fails, and move on to getting stuff that actually matters done.
Isn’t that exactly how brexit happened?
Yep, but it wasn't supposed to be binding so they could have used it to set the wheel in motion to negotiate better conditions as part of the European Union
Wish I followed Brexit more as it was happening, think me being in school at the time had something to do with me not doing so.
However at the same time, I don't think the majority of people would vote for this. IIrc, support is polling between 20 and 30 percent currently, much higher than I'm comfortable with, but not enough to actually win a vote if it was held today (not to say polls vote btw).
Also worth noting is that last week Smith and Carney had a meeting, to which Smith stated that it was a positive one, so fingers crossed that's a sign of things in the right direction: https://www.ctvnews.ca/edmonton/article/smith-describes-first-meeting-with-carney-after-the-election-positive/
That may be helpful in curtailment of efforts to persuade fence-sitters.
That's the thing too, people that are pro-separatism are already on the roll with their efforts to make this a legitimate thing. Just the other day I received a call from the Alberta Republicans with a survey asking if I'd vote yes on a referendum to split from Canada.
Yes. I've seen it in the US and hence my trepidation for Canada.
This has been the case for decades. Every time they run the polling, the overwhelming majority don't want to separate. It's why they can never get enough signatures to even have a referendum.
Most people in Alberta are Canadians through and through, whatever blowhards like Smith want to think.
The sooner she fucks off down to a plush energy company board seat in the States, the better we'll all be.
Which is why they lowered that number.
What does "leave" mean in this context? A vote to leave?
Yes. Sometimes people hide unpopular opinions, until they're popular.
Sometimes people hold unpopular opinions privately until they’re examined under the spotlight. Then they realize that’s not actually their opinion. See: Brexit.