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Judging by satellite images from today, all ships of the Russian Black Sea Fleet left the port of Novorossiysk. (sopuli.xyz)

submitted 5 months ago* (last edited 5 months ago) by LaFinlandia@sopuli.xyz to c/ukraine@sopuli.xyz

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https://t.me/oko_gora/12025

💩 Judging by satellite images for today, all ships of the Russian Black Sea Fleet left the port of Novorossiysk.

The reasons for this decision of the Russian leadership and the route of the fleet are still unknown.

In the morning, part of the warships, as well as all the large landing ships, left Novorossiysk.

https://t.me/yigal_levin/67856?single

OSINT researcher HI Sutton reports that according to satellite surveillance data, ships leaving Novorossiysk in the morning (large landing ships and their escort) are moving in formation towards Crimea. Other ships, as previously reported, did indeed leave their berths, but the majority remained in Novorossiysk Bay.

@yigal_levin

https://t.me/Crimeanwind/60829

According to our source, the Russian Black Sea Fleet is currently conducting exercises.

Ships must be brought to their bases after 23:00.

We separate, the outcome is postponed for now.

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[-] doodledup@lemmy.world 28 points 5 months ago

Are they fleeing or are they preparing for an attack?

[-] DarkThoughts@fedia.io 12 points 5 months ago

I thought they don't have any cruise missile capable ships left there? What would they attack? I doubt they'd try a landing.

[-] doodledup@lemmy.world 12 points 5 months ago

I thought they don't have any [...] capable ships left there.

[-] gravitas_deficiency@sh.itjust.works 9 points 5 months ago

They have a few, along with about a half dozen cruise missile capable SSKs, but they are definitely starting to run out.

[-] toofpic@lemmy.world 17 points 5 months ago

Interesting - Novorossiysk was the furthest (from Ukraine) military port in the Black sea, and the ships were there because it's harder to attack them there compared to Crimea. Where else could they hide, run away to Mediterranean? :)
Or am I missing something?

[-] LaFinlandia@sopuli.xyz 24 points 5 months ago* (last edited 5 months ago)

The best guess I've read is that they will use landing ships to restore ferry service across the Kerch Strait.

[-] Skua@kbin.earth 33 points 5 months ago

That sounds like we're about to see a lot of new additions to the involuntary submarine club

[-] IphtashuFitz@lemmy.world 7 points 5 months ago

One can only hope!

[-] Sianna@feddit.de 13 points 5 months ago

Aren't russien military ships barred from crossing the Bosporus?

[-] DarkThoughts@fedia.io 11 points 5 months ago

Maybe they can leave, but not enter. Would be kind of funny if they'd abandon the black sea like that.

[-] Sylvartas@lemmy.world 14 points 5 months ago

It's up to Turkey. But according to international treaties they can absolutely forbid them from leaving, iirc

[-] thepreciousboar@lemm.ee 10 points 5 months ago

*unless it's to return to their home port, but then they also cannot reenter. I think that most of the non black-sea fleet got out before the war or just was not in there at all

[-] toofpic@lemmy.world 8 points 5 months ago

Turkey controls it, and Turkey does whatever they find useful that day. Right now, Russia sold out "allied" Armenia to Azerbaijan, and Turkey is a part of the regional muslim bloc. I have no idea of their agreements, but it's not like Turkey is anything close to being reliable partner to western countries

[-] rammer@sopuli.xyz 3 points 5 months ago

Turkey isn't a reliable partner for anyone.

[-] HeyThisIsntTheYMCA@lemmy.world 14 points 5 months ago

they still have ships? someone should get on that

[-] cabron_offsets@lemmy.world 7 points 5 months ago

Sink the blyats.

[-] bradorsomething@ttrpg.network 6 points 5 months ago

This is a very dangerous exercise in the current drone environment. I guess this maybe an ECM test en force? If the cost-benefit analysis of risking that much tonnage has been met, russian logistics are hurting much, much worse than has been let on to.