Right now there's a higher chance of the Bloc Québécois forming the official opposition than the NDP, which hasn't happened since 1993. Once polls incorporate Freeland's departure into the Liberal numbers, I'm pretty sure the Bloc will be forecast to win more seats than the Liberals.

Unfortunately I don't think the NDP has a shot of forming any significant portion of our next government. They 100% need to dump Singh and get their platform message out better. There actually aren't very many tossup LPC/NDP seats, just 4/16. So it's unlikely to me that we'll get an NDP swing from LPC votes.

https://338canada.com/federal.htm

Effectively what the forecasts are saying:

• BC swings conservative. The NDP lose half their seats there. CPC wins 80%
• AB unsurprisingly stays CPC
• Ontario swings massively to CPC, with CPC winning 80% of seats. The NDP steal 5 seats from the Liberals, but ~60 seats go from LPC to CPC.
• Quebec sees modest increase in Bloc seats, all coming from LPC
• The Maritimes swing hard to CPC, Liberals lose every maritime province and keep only a sprinkle of seats

The NDP is not going win anything, this is going to be a majority goverment run by PP

I feel like the NDP had their chance after Layton, but Mulcair didn't catch much attention from the electorate. The Supply and Confidence agreement was probably their chance for this decade.

Hopefully when they pick up a new leader they'll get better communications staff and start doing outreach.