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Kremlin prepares Russians for 10-year war with complete destruction of Ukraine - ISW
(newsukraine.rbc.ua)
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this post was submitted on 19 Jul 2024
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Unlikely due to their constitution, but Japan has contested islands Russia gobbled up at the end of WW2 that they might like to reassert ownership of if it is easy enough.
Yeah i guess that might be the most likely candidate for an opportunistic takeover.
Although their navy is the one thing Russia might not bother (or be able to) send to Ukraine. So that would still stay in the area, making it less likely.