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Kremlin prepares Russians for 10-year war with complete destruction of Ukraine - ISW
(newsukraine.rbc.ua)
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this post was submitted on 19 Jul 2024
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Yeah i guess that might be the most likely candidate for an opportunistic takeover.
Although their navy is the one thing Russia might not bother (or be able to) send to Ukraine. So that would still stay in the area, making it less likely.