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Please remember to vote. Polls mean nothing.
National polls doubly so. The electoral college strongly favors Republicans.
Ironic that the party who wails and moans about DEI practices gets artificially propped up by the EC and would absolutely get demolished without studious gerrymandering.
Those bitches will howl when Texas turns blue in 2 or 3 cycles.
Hopefully we are still allowed to vote when that time comes.
The EC is affirmative action for Republicans.
Do not be fooled. The GOP is not running a failing campaign, it's just that they are putting all their energy toward backdooring the whole democratic process itself. Their campaign is little more than a diversion for their coup.
Let's keep pushing further. If polls show a tight race push for a win. If polls show a decent win make it big. If polls show a big win, make it a blowout
Amen (and thanks for the links).
Here's more links (these might be on the earlier linked site)
Help write letters to voters in swing state / other competitive down ballot elections
If you are curious what the most effective volunteering method is, most data suggest it's canvasing (door knocking) but other things like text banking, phone banking, letter writing are still effective too
The simple answer to that is this: she’s incredibly likable
And
It doesn't hurt that she's running against the most offensive candidate since David Duke
Vote folks. Volunteer to help people who need rides to the polls to vote -- or make sure they know how to view absentee if your state allows it.
if anything, polls from AZ, NC, NV, PA, GA, MI and WI are more meaningful than national numbers
I’ve heard that Kamala needs roughly a 3.5% advantage nationwide to break even in the electoral college. It’s not a direct correlation of course, but it stands as a good indicator.
It’s insane if you think about it though, that we give the republicans 3.5% house odds. That’s more than we give casinos in blackjack. We don’t even give most one arm bandits that much.
I almost feel there is only one state: Pennsylvania. It seems like it's the lynchpin to victory.
Is anyone tracking Harris’ polling against Clinton’s from the same time 8 years ago?
Some important differences:
-
Fewer undecideds in polling than 2016. Makes the margins more significant. Harris is starting to see some state polling putting her at 50% or above which is encouraging. Hillary virtually never saw polls like that
-
Hillary was basically always at net negative popularity/approval. Harris has now gotten to net neutral or slightly positive
Election could still go either way but there are some differences
She’s got a big national lead!
They said. They were very, very wrong somehow.
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this post was submitted on 22 Sep 2024
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