So what you're saying is that I have 14 years to kill him
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And it’ll be easy to get near him because you’re a kid
I just spit my coffee. Needed that laugh.
How fucked up is it that I needed your comment to understand the comment of who you replied to? Jesus
At 10, I won't have much money to invest, and I doubt I'd convince anyone to invest on my behalf. So, the butterfly effect on the markets will be at least 10 years away. I'd spend my first 5-6 years soaking up the knowledge that would be most relevant to me for the late 00's, then from 16 or so I'd use that knowledge for well-paid gigs to earn money to invest, first into the stock market (short term), and later into startups I know will succeed. By 22, I'd start sponsoring the Cincinnati zoo, as a side project. By 24, I'll use my influence at the zoo to beef up security in the gorilla enclosure. The kid will not fall in, Harambe will live, and today's timeline will never materialize. Then I'll retire. You're welcome.
Impossible to read a USB stick from 2025 in the year 2002.
Impossible to read a backup of Wikipedia from 2025 in the year 2002.
Story over.
This is, I'm sorry to say, baloney.
In 2002 Windows XP was already out and natively supported NTFS volumes. So did Windows 2000. XP even supported ExFAT volumes with a patch which was released in April 2001. If you're a Linux nerd, ext2 or ext3 could easily handle the partition and file sizes required. ext2 had already been available for decades at that point and ext3 was released in 2001 and readily available by 2002.
Without media, the current Wikipedia (according to itself) is a hair over 24 gigabytes not including images and media, which'd fit on a 32 gig flash drive that, while it would be absolutely amazing to 2002 users just based on its sheer usable volume, would handily accept a bog standard NTFS partition readable on any XP or Win2k machine.
There were no flash storage based drives bigger than one or two gigs in 2002, but there were plenty of external USB hard drives in that era that readily exceeded the 4 gig FAT32 file size limit. I know this well because I was there at the time, and I owned several of them. You had to manually format them as NTFS to be able to use the entire capacity effectively and with large files, but they absolutely did work over USB... Just not if you bunged them into a Windows 98 or ME machine. A modern flash drive would be no different. In all practicable terms you could mount a volume up to 2.2 terabytes (i.e. round thousands) or 2.0 tebibytes (powers of two, if you can countenance sounding ridiculous for using the word "tebibyte") in XP/2K if it were formatted NTFS without having to engage in any chicanery or third party tools. Even a ten year old could do it. You plug it in, and it'd Just Work.
Including media the entirety of the Wikimedia Commons is something like 420 TB, which would be a challenge even today to load onto a single USB flash drive. If you were going to include the media (images and videos) these would probably have to be downscaled significantly in order to fit on any single portable drive, even current ones.
The text content of Wikipedia would be no problem whatsoever. USB 3.0 didn't exist yet, though, so at best you'd be chugging along loading everything at 2.0 speed if you had a compliant board and all the correct drivers for it (and were running at least Win2k service pack 4). You'd want an HTML dump, not one of their database dumps, because running the current Wikimedia software and database versions would be a challenge for sure. But a browser from 2002 shouldn't trip up on any Wikipedia content except perhaps any .webp images (2010), or h264/h265 video content.
You'd have a much bigger problem if OP warped you and your USB drive back to 1998 or worse, 1995.
For the sake of the scenario, in addition to the details listed in the body of the post, assume the USB drive is type A and is readable by any PC with a USB type A connector, regardless of generation. It can also be read regardless of file system.
There's an inherent supernatural element to the premise, so assume "it just works." There can be a specialized browser on the drive as well if you feel like you wouldn't be able to make use of the raw HTML files.
No assumptions are even required because this commenter is simply flat out wrong. See the breakdown here, or TL;DR: It would be trivial to mount a drive up to 2.2 TB (not GB, not MB...) using 2002 hardware.
I think a bigger assumption in this scenario is that if you're reborn as a random 10 year old holding a USB flash drive, you'll zap to a place on the globe with ready access to a recent computer.
I can mount an old drive made in 2002 right now, formatted in a 2002 era format, and put text files on it, compressed with tar and gz from 1990 if need be.
I assume that is the hardware we have to work with in this scenario.
That’s the impossible part?
I doubt even the max number of USB 1.1 devices per bus can hold the size of current Wikipedia. (Quick Google shows ~4TB usb3.2 drives. And 127 individual devices. Gives you Max 508TB. In 2023 the size of everything in Wikipedia was ~430TB. )
Invest every cent i can get my hands on into bitcoin when possible, easy.
Or Apple, or nVidia. Or all of the above.
Edit: Actually, nVidia would be a bad call. Apple I think would result in around a 6000% return on investment by our deadline, which isn't exactly a rocket ride to the moon, but you could probably use Wikipedia's articles on pump and dumps and other financial scams to know in advance what's going to happen, and be one of those at the top of the pyramid rather than the bottom in order to raise yourself more short term capital.
As for all the comments about everyone going for the Get Rich path and not the Nobel Prize... Well, yeah. Even if you do have a literally encyclopedic knowledge of current and future geopolitical events, it's unlikely anyone important is going to listen to a 10 year old. Especially so if you're not allowed to give the game away. You could readily trade stocks online in 2002, though, even if you were a minor as long as you could employ some creativity (or get permission from your parents). How convenient that by the time you're ready to cash out, you've just turned into a legal adult.
Or FAANG
Bitcoin wasn’t invented until 2008 and launched in 2009. Your deadline is 2010. Someone bought 2 pizzas for 10,000 bitcoin in 2010.
Step 1: become obscenely rich, at least like 300B before 2016.
Step 2: use my wealth to prevent Trump from becoming president(get fucked pedo looser!), Also gonna uncover the whole Trump Epstein thing early and get Epstein to testify in court against Trump if possible and put that asshole in jail for the rest of his miserable life.
Step 3: lobby for the following with the rest of my money:
- ranked choice voting
- public transit
- a proper healthcare system that doesn't fuck everyone
- make democracy in the us stronger any possible way I can
- accelerate green energy transition
Step 4: retire in a comfortable sized house with some cats.
At least that would be my plan, but I feel like unintended consequences would probably fuck me over.
The years of buildup to you getting 300B before 2016 would alter the course of history though, making all your knowledge useless after you've amassed whatever amount changes history. You'd be hard pressed to make financial gains before you're 18, so you'd amass 300B between 2010 and 2016. At some point early on you'd draw too much attention and change history enough to have no idea what's coming.
If I'm a 10 year old in 2002, first thing I do is go play some Melee.
This is truly the way.
If I was able to make lots of money somehow I’d buy up CDS’s before 2008 market crash.
Otherwise I’d just start mining bitcoin in 2009.
10,000 bitcoins were worth ~$20-40 in 2010.
You will need ~500,000,000,000 (500 Billion) bitcoin (unless my math is wrong, but suffice it to say, it’s a lot).
I believe to date only about ~20 million have been mined.
If I could get 9K bitcoin I’d have over $1B today with only spending money on a computer and electricity.
I would just be happy to have a re-start at life and a chance to make better choices. Enjoy simpler times, get a head start on hobbies and passions, see my favorite bands that are no longer around :)
Eventually I would invest in things which would earn me a safety net and extra income (hard to do that as a 10 year old), but not in companies that go against my values. I don’t need to get rich but I would like enough to be able to benefit my loved ones and community. Not the most ambitious, but practical.
Probably throw it through the wash on accident. First week.
Bitcoin
First, see if they have the wining numbers for Powerballs that were never won. Something in the tens to hundreds of millions. Then use the entries on the stock market to invest in things that will take off, allowing you to sell before they tank.
Then take all that money and put it in to left wing think tanks that will make this mess go away entirely.
I would do anything to start transitioning before testosterone has a chance to wreck my body...
Well you're in luck, one bonus of the scenario is stipulated in the body of the post!
Your biological sex matches your gender identity (flip a coin if you are enby)
Pretty horrifying scenario, my wife would be 21, I would be 10.
Anakin? Is that you?
Throw it in the trash, so Biff finds it and ruins the timeline.
I probably start voicing concerns about the housing situation in 2006 then bet everything shorting it in 08. From there I buy a foreclosed house study electrical engineering and attempt to get a solar panel startup going cooperatively in the hopes of pushing 2014 Obama to focus on full renewables.
I don't need a lot of money, I need a future.
If I had money to invest in things when I actually waw back in 2002, I would have been set for life today. My high school economy class that year played some game that used real world stocks but with virtual money. We started with 10k and it went all school year; whoever had the most money at the end won a prize (a huge bag of candy). I won and all I had done was put half my money into Google and the other into Apple at the start and never touched it or even looked at it.
In this scenario, I still don't know how the info would necessarily help me get rich unless it had enough technical knowledge to recreate things before they "naturally" were invented so I could take credit. Presumably, I still would not have real money. I could probably get a lot of bitcoin. I used to have like 2 or 3 coins people gave away for free becsuse, at the time, they were worthless.
Alternatively, owning a pizza restaurant that accepts bitcoin is a good way to get lots of it quickly.
2002… uff, that would be hard. As a ten year old there is so little you can do!
I guess I would steal an identity and get some ground breaking research out on a quicker time scale. In particular trying to get ahead of the climate deniers. I would invest in some whatevers that made it big as soon as possible, then during the 2008 crisis, then Bitcoins.
I would find it impossible to not look for my friends and family, even just stalking them from afar. That would probably drive me insane.
I’d use my wealth to lobby hard for climate justice and climate research. Probably still hide my true identity. I’m not American, so I would need to think really hard if preventing Trump is worth it, but I would lobby for a quicker energy transition and for a better social net. I’d assume with the knowledge I have at hand, I could even tweak the end result of the 2008 crisis… but that would be a massive butterfly to introduce.
On a global scale, I would think that some properly timed interventions in Africa could have dramatic impacts both socially and ecologically, but I’d have to study more to figure that out.