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Just wait until the markets open on Monday...
You can't really use past market events as a reference for anything happening now. The global system is completely different and changing very fast. The longer term implications here are that the U.S. Govt has been out of money for a while and there is a ton of upcoming debt to issue. Part of the response to this is to fund the Govt using tariffs, and begin shrinking the deficit by using the economic problems and the total debt to justify it. They are trying to avoid a debt crisis where there is more debt being issued than buyers. The problem is that this time, with other options existing for capital than Treasuries, which given the circumstances, the old idea that people run to Govt debt when the markets crash for safety just might not hold up this time. The end result is that they haven't solved anything, and in fact made the upcoming debt crisis much worse. What's more is that the old reserve currency dollar system being replaced will accelerate now as trade is forced to route around the U.S. There are so many second order effects here too, all of this will kick off a justification to privatize everything and have the private sector jump in to save and replace Govt functions. What they have wanted to do all along anyway, and given the current political climate will mirror the oligarchs taking over Govt functions after the collapse of the USSR. This is just more of a controlled demolition.
Sorry for the wall of text. Also, a bretton woods style agreement will be necessary, it's just that there is no single world power strong enough to enforce one. The futures for Monday look pretty bad too, and there are so many unresolved problems since 2008 that could blow up one after another once all the liquidity is removed and there is no one willing to purchase all the upcoming debt.
The debt issue is greatly over exaggerated. The US as a whole owns over 300 trillion in assets and trillions more in untouched resources. The US isn't broke and it isn't poor. It only feels poor because
For example, if we built public transit and walkable cities we could make transit completely free and it would cost far less than subsidizing car dependency. But we can't do that nation wide because it would devalue the car industry, the asphalt industry, rubber industry, and the oil industry. Under capitalism, the profits of the 0.1% always take priority over what benefits the 99%
I expect Musk to become the first trillionaire from all of this. Thing is, that trillion will be worth $100 Euros or any other form of currency that isn't attached to America.
May the money pit that Musk stands on, suck him in like a bog.
I’m 41 years old, I’ll be 42 in a few weeks, I’m getting really tired of living through these “once in a lifetime events” every 24-48hrs.
Total sidebar: You should re-read The Hitchhiker's Guide to the Galaxy when you turn 42!
That's what I did. Now I'll never forget the last time I read the series.
As a 45yo, I agree.
Yeppp. Also makes me really distrust mainstream economists, because somehow these crashes always come as a surprise.
Like what we're doing is not working. We need to try something else
You assume that educated people are making the final decision, when that has not been the case in at least 60 years.
Economists can scream from the roof-tops that the wealth-gap is harmful (they have), that ignoring science is regressive (they have), and that tariffs are fucking stupid (they have). But if the people in power (i.e CEO, Lobbyists, President) simply ignore them and do stupid shit anyway, it's all pointless.
Moral of the story, this is not on the economists. This is on the stupid being in positions of power and the ignorant masses not holding them accountable.
Mainstream economists have been predicting this for nearly a year. It's a surprise to almost no one.
Oh i guess that's true. I'm not sure what my point was. I guess political/party economists? But maybe they're not informed by actual economists.
It seems like there is a disconnect between what I hear politicians talking about vis what the journals say
What tells you that this isn't working? Seems to be working as intended. You mis-assumed that this administration gives a flying fuck about anyone worth less than $1 billion.
I meant for melol
What does this have to do with any economist? Are they supposed to be able to predict a cheeto imposing absurd global tarriffs? "Once in a lifetime" is just an expression the media likes to use.
Sorry I topic drifted a bit. I wasn't actually thinking of that. I was under the impression that things were going very poorly even before tariffs.
Lets hope this leads to Republicans loosing for 60 years like last time :3
We're entering Once in a Lifetime Recession #5. Buckle up folks. The feds up shits creek and has been since COVID, so no cash bailouts are coming anytime soon. This should be a fun one!
Can someone explain the tangible effects of this?
Companies are going to lay off loads of people and close any department that costs too much just to increase the stock price again. For investors stock price is everything and they don't care much about consequences.
USA stock market crashing means the dollar is getting less worth compared to other currencies, so anything imported gets more expensive in the USA, what is most items. Things getting more expensive means less people buying stuff, less economic activity so more layoffs.
All those layoffs means people can't pay back there debt. Trump doesn't care about people in debt and somehow makes it worse. Banks get in trouble. Trump cares about banks and big businesses so they get bailed out. Taxes on everybody else increases to pay for bailouts.
To distract from all this, Trump starts challenging China and it leads to war. Marshall law is called and Trump starts funneling more money to the military making things even worse.
Marshall law is called
And he's already stated that running for a 3rd term isn't off the table.
You're all going to be poorer.
You say that as if it won't likely affect you as well. Even if you're not American, the next decade will be worse financialy than the last. There are probably some exceptions, but not many.
I'd be fine with that if it was for some grand project, like reversing climate change or wiping out global poverty, but it's not.
This doesn't explain anything. To do that you would have to say why.
Trump is golfing while a man he admits is innocent is in an El Salvador prison